Will the US Fed hold rates in September 2025?

66%

Skill-Weighted Probability

LMSR 51%

Forecasters

↑ 1 YES · 1 NO

Volume

€672

2 trades

24h Velocity

0pp

probability shift

Liquidity (b)

327.7

thin

Probability history

YESNO

Chart appears after first trades

Place a forecast

Market is settled — trading closed

Shares pay €1.00 at settlement · 2% platform fee

Recent trades

NOCGN_deneme@ 42%

€20.00245d ago

YESCGN_deneme@ 74%

€45.00259d ago

Market information

CategoryUS Fed

Created1 July 2025

Closes17 September 2025

Settlement sourceFederal Reserve FOMC

Min. trade€10

SponsoredNo

Consensus signals

SWP (skill-weighted)66%

LMSR market price51%

Expert forecasters66%

Novice forecasters66%

EDI (expertise divergence)0.000

24h velocity0pp

Data Quality Score16 / 100

Forecaster breakdown

forecasting YES

forecasting NO

Brier score leaders on this market

CGN_denemeNOBrier 0.34