Markets / ECB Rate
🌍 Geographic viewECB RateCloses 20 October 2025YES resolved
Will the ECB cut rates by 25bps in October 2025?
77%
Skill-Weighted Probability
LMSR 51%
Forecasters
1
↑ 2 YES · 0 NO
Volume
€946
2 trades
24h Velocity
0pp
probability shift
Liquidity (b)
338.8
thin
Probability history
YESNO
Chart appears after first trades
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Market is settled — trading closed
Shares pay €1.00 at settlement · 2% platform fee
Recent trades
YESCGN_deneme@ 78%
€20.00198d ago
YESCGN_deneme@ 76%
€40.00214d ago
Market information
CategoryECB Rate
Created15 August 2025
Closes20 October 2025
Settlement sourceECB Press Release
Min. trade€10
SponsoredNo
View official source →Consensus signals
SWP (skill-weighted)77%
LMSR market price51%
Expert forecasters77%
Novice forecasters77%
EDI (expertise divergence)0.000
24h velocity0pp
Data Quality Score16 / 100
Forecaster breakdown
2
forecasting YES
0
forecasting NO
Brier score leaders on this market
CGN_denemeYESBrier 0.05