Will EU CPI fall below 2.5% in Q3 2025?

79%

Skill-Weighted Probability

LMSR 51%

Forecasters

↑ 2 YES · 0 NO

Volume

€895

2 trades

24h Velocity

0pp

probability shift

Liquidity (b)

336.7

thin

Probability history

YESNO

Chart appears after first trades

Place a forecast

Market is settled — trading closed

Shares pay €1.00 at settlement · 2% platform fee

Recent trades

YESCGN_deneme@ 80%

€20.00240d ago

YESCGN_deneme@ 77%

€30.00276d ago

Market information

CategoryEU CPI

Created1 June 2025

Closes30 September 2025

Settlement sourceEurostat Flash Estimate

Min. trade€10

SponsoredNo

Consensus signals

SWP (skill-weighted)79%

LMSR market price51%

Expert forecasters79%

Novice forecasters79%

EDI (expertise divergence)0.000

24h velocity0pp

Data Quality Score16 / 100

Forecaster breakdown

forecasting YES

forecasting NO

Brier score leaders on this market

CGN_denemeYESBrier 0.04